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ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.The U.S. Treasury auctioned eight-term treasury bonds, and the winning bid rate was 4.500% (4.350% on December 5), and the bid multiple was 2.81 (3.50 in the previous auction).Expert: The Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose". Dong Ximiao, the chief researcher of Zhaolian and a part-time researcher at the Institute of Finance of Fudan University, believes that the Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose" not only because of the analysis of the current economic situation, but also because of the full consideration of external uncertainties and the planning of economic work next year. Looking forward to the follow-up, in 2025, moderately loose monetary policy can continue to exert its strength in three aspects, which is more forward-looking, effective and targeted. First, it is necessary to intensify counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment, make pre-adjustment in an unconventional way, let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve, help the macro economy smooth out cyclical fluctuations and external shocks, and show forward-looking; Second, continue to reduce the RRR and interest rates. In 2025, the RRR can be lowered by 0.5 percentage points, the policy interest rate will be lowered by 50 basis points, and the LPR will be reduced by 25 basis points, thus ensuring more abundant liquidity in the total amount, moderately reducing costs and enhancing effectiveness; Third, make good use of the existing structural monetary policy tools, create new tools when necessary, enrich the "eighteen martial arts" in the toolbox, guide and support financial institutions to do the "five major articles", especially increase support for scientific and technological innovation, green development, consumer finance, etc., and reflect pertinence. (Xinhua Finance)

According to the Ifop poll, the support rate of French President Macron remains unchanged at 25%.On December 12th, local time, the reporter learned that the court documents submitted that day showed that Alexander smirnoff, an FBI informant who had been accused of fabricating US President Barack joseph robinette and his son hunter biden to accept millions of dollars in bribes, had agreed to plead guilty. It is understood that smirnoff reached a plea agreement with David Weiss, special adviser of the Ministry of Justice. According to the agreement, the two sides will recommend a prison term of at least 48 months and no more than 72 months.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe we are close, but it is still unclear whether we will achieve a ceasefire; The Israeli government has expressed its wish to see an agreement, and we have seen Hamas's actions.

Russia said that it had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian "Sharm el-Liberation Organization". On the 12th local time, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Bogdahn Novo said that Russia had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian armed group "Liberation Syria".International copper closed down more than 1.1%, while Shanghai nickel and alumina rose more than 1.5% at most. International copper closed down 1.14%, Shanghai copper closed down 0.94%, Shanghai aluminum closed up 0.12%, Shanghai zinc closed down 0.83%, Shanghai lead closed down 0.37%, Shanghai nickel closed up 1.51% and Shanghai tin closed down 0.81%. Alumina closed up 1.04% at night. Stainless steel night trading closed down 0.23%.Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute: The Central Economic Work Conference further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to give play to the traction role of economic system reform and promote the implementation of landmark reform measures. High-quality completion of the deepening and upgrading of state-owned enterprise reform, the introduction of private economy promotion law. Carry out special actions to standardize law enforcement involving enterprises. Formulate guidelines for the construction of a unified national market. Strengthen supervision and promote the healthy development of platform economy. Make overall plans to promote the reform of the fiscal and taxation system and increase local independent financial resources. Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system. Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute, told reporters that the meeting put forward a very targeted statement on the private economy. Among them, expressions such as "Promulgating the Private Economy Promotion Law" and "Launching Special Actions to Standardize Law Enforcement of Enterprises" have further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy, which is expected to create a more favorable policy environment for the development of the private economy. (SSE)